Derek Carty

Derek Carty's Picks

Today
There is a value opportunity on Will Warren's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting 5.80 strikeouts for him with a 53% chance that he records at least 6 strikeouts. If you can get the over at +154 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +119. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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3
W.Warren o4.5 Ks-126
KC
KC Team Abbreviation@NYY Team Abbreviation
NYY
1.26u
04/18 5:35 PM
THE BAT X is forecasting 5.80 strikeouts for Will Warren. Oddsmakers are implying 4.98 strikeouts, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 70% of the time resulting in a 25% ROI with expected value of $31.09 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -153. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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5
There is a value opportunity on Chris Sale's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting 9.27 strikeouts for him with a 69% chance that he records at least 8 strikeouts. If you can get the over at +120 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -148. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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5
There is a value opportunity on Chris Sale's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting 9.27 strikeouts for him. If you can get the over at +220 or better, there is great value here. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
9
3
C.Seager o0.5 HR+682
TEX
TEX Team Abbreviation@SEA Team Abbreviation
SEA
0.25u
04/18 11:15 PM
There may be some value on Corey Seager's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.20 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.14. The model believes there is a 17% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +682. This play is good down to at least +565. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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Pending
There may be some value on Emmet Sheehan's hits allowed prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.16 hits allowed, and oddsmakers are implying 5.07. The model believes there is a 65% chance he records fewer than 5 hits allowed. If you can get the under at +115 or better there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -128. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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There is a value opportunity on Yusei Kikuchi's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 16.59 pitching outs for him with a 57% chance that he records at least 16 pitching outs. If you can get the over at +150 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +101. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
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Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday1-2-125%
0.30u
Last 7 Days8-22-324%
1.57u
Last 30 Days11-34-422%
-3.16u
All Time73-115-1237%
4.59u
Top Leagues
NFL47-49-148%
7.51u
MLB26-66-1125%
-2.93u